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In New essay on your personal blogThe Operai CEO, Sam Altman, said the company is open to a “calculation budget”, among other ideas of “strange sound”, to “allow everyone on Earth to use a lot of AI” and ensure that the benefits of the technology are widely distributed.
“The historical impact of technological progress suggests that the majority of the metrics that care about us (health results, economic prosperity, etc.) improves average and long term, but the increase in equality does not seem technologically to determine and do this correct They require new ideas, ”Altman wrote. “In particular, it seems that the balance of power between capital and labor could easily be in poor condition, and this may require early intervention.”
Solutions to this problem, such as Altman’s concept of “calculation budget”, can be easier to propose than execute. Already, AI is affecting the labor marketResulting in Work cuts and Reduction of the Departmental. Experts have warned This massive unemployment is a possible result of the emergence of AI technology if not accompanied by correct government policies and requirements and improvement programs.
Not for the first time, Altman states that artificial general intelligence (AGI), which defines as “(an AI) that can address increasingly complex problems, on a human level, in many fields,” is close. Regardless of the way you take, this AGI will not be perfect, Altman warns, in the sense that “human supervision and human direction” can be required “
“(Agi Systems) will not have the greatest new ideas,” Altman wrote, “and it will be great in some things but surprisingly bad in others.”
But AGI’s real value will come from executing these large -scale systems, Altman said. Like the CEO of Openai rival Anthrope, Dario Ameodei, Altman imagines thousands or even millions of hypercapible systems that address tasks “in each field of knowledge work.”
One could assume that it will be a expensive vision to realize. In fact, Altman observed that “arbitrary amounts of money can spend and obtain continuous and predictable earnings” in AI yield. According to reports, that is why Operai is in conversations to raise up to $ 40 billion in a financing round, and has promised to spend up to $ 500 billion with partners on a huge data network.
However, Altman also argues that the cost of using “a given level of” falls around 10 times every 12 months. In other words, push the limit of AI technology will not become cheaper, but users will get access to increasingly capable systems on the road.
The economic and capable models of the startup of China Depseek and others seem to support that notion. There is evidence that suggests that training and development costs are also going down, but both Altman and Amodei have argued that massive investments It will be required to achieve AI level, and beyond.
As for how Operai plans to launch AGI level systems (assuming that, in fact, creating them), Altman said the company will probably make “some important decisions and limitations related to AGI security that will be unpopular.” Opadai Once committed that he would pray to stop competing and begin to help any project “aligned by value”, “aware of security” that approaches the construction of AGI before he does, for concern for security.
Of course, it was when Openai intended to remain a non -profit organization. The company is in the process of converting its corporate structure into that of a more traditional organization promoted by profits. Opadai reportedly Its objective is to achieve revenues of $ 100 billion by 2029, equal to current annual sales of Target and Nestlé.
This is the case, Altman added that Openai’s goal, since it develops more powerful, the AI will be “more tendency towards individual empowerment” while prefers “the AI used by authoritarian governments to control their population through mass surveillance and loss of autonomy. ” Altman recently said that he believes that Openai has been on the wrong side of history when it comes to obtaining his technologies. Although OpenAI has open -source technology in the past, the company has generally favored a patented closed code development approach.
“The AI will be filtered in all areas of the economy and society; We will expect everything to be intelligent, ”said Altman. “Many of us hope to need people more control over technology than historically, including obtaining more, and accepting that there is a balance between security and individual empowerment that will require compensation.”
Altman’s publication is ahead of AI AI Summit this week in Paris, which has already led other notable technological to describe his own visions For the future of AI.
In a footnote, Altman added that Openai does not plan, in fact, to put an end to his relationship with the close partner and Microsoft inverter in the short term using the term AGI. According to reports, Microsoft and Openai had a contractual definition of AGI systems that can generate $ 100 billion in profits, which once complied, would allow OpenAi to negotiate more favorable investment terms. Altman said, however, that Operai “hopes (s) is associated with long -term Microsoft.”
