Useful information
Prime News delivers timely, accurate news and insights on global events, politics, business, and technology
In a weekend where Bayern Munich, Barcelona, Real Madrid and Juventus dropped points, the Premier League title chasers also stumbled.
Arsenal were held to a dismal goalless draw against Everton, while Liverpool managed to make the four-goal thriller with Fulham look like one point won rather than two lost. Manchester City were three minutes away from belatedly regaining their position in the title race before Amad Diallo inspired Manchester United to a 2-1 derby victory.
Chelsea, the only team desperate to avoid any talk of the title race, were the only team at the top end of the table to take all three points this weekend, despite doing everything they could to squander a win over Brentford on Sunday night.
This is how this calamitous round of matches has affected choose‘s Statistically supported predictions.
The formation of Liverpool’s chasing group changed significantly this weekend. Chelseawhich started the round as fourth seed, overtook Manchester City in the predictive standings.
The ‘bleus’ have a 5.5% chance of winning the title. “To be honest, I don’t even know what a title race is,” Nicolas Jackson joked after scoring the decisive goal in Sunday’s 2-1 victory, which moved his team within two points of first place. “I don’t even look at the table,” the forward insisted. That could soon change if Chelsea continue to close the gap on Liverpool.
Chelsea are still most likely to finish third (35.5%) and have a 5.3% chance of missing out on the top four entirely. Arsenal They remain Liverpool’s closest rivals, finishing above the Reds in 10.6% of the 10,000 simulations they Opt calculations of advanced statistical models.
The Gunners have become increasingly reliant on set-pieces going forward, a worrying trend that was painfully evident for a a tepid stalemate at home to Everton on Saturday. Arteta’s side have scored just 15 goals from open play in 16 top-flight games, fewer than relegation-threatened Wolverhampton Wanderers.
Liverpool They have no problem finding the back of the net, even if they are reduced to ten players. Arne Slot’s unstoppable side fell behind twice at home to Fulham on Saturday afternoon but emerged with a point and new momentum in the title race.
The Reds may only have a two-point lead over Chelsea, and a game in hand against Everton after the derby postponement, but the supercomputer gives Liverpool a massive 82.0% chance of winning just their second title. of the Premier League era.
city of manchesterChasing their fifth crown, they only have a 1.9% chance of finishing at the top of the standings again. In the last seven Premier League games since Halloween, Pep Guardiola’s side have amassed a woeful four points, the same as bottom club Southampton, who sacked manager Russell Martin on Sunday.
There is little danger of Guardiola losing his job wherever City finish, but top spot looks increasingly unlikely.
Range | Club | Probability of winning the Premier League title |
|---|---|---|
1. | Liverpool | 82.0% |
2. | Arsenal | 10.6% |
3. | Chelsea | 5.5% |
4. | city man | 1.9% |
