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History says the S&P 500 will rise in 2025. Top 2 Stocks to Buy Before It Does.


The US stock market posted a stellar performance in 2024, with the benchmark index S&P 500 The index reached an all-time high closing value of 6,090.27 on December 6.

But things could get even better in 2025. According to Charles Schwab, based on 14 interest rate cycles since 1929, the S&P 500 index has posted positive returns 12 months after the cycle’s first rate cut 86% of the time. The benchmark recorded negative returns after rate cuts in 2001 and 2007, mainly attributed to the recessionary environment.

In September 2024, the Federal Reserve began the current rate cut cycle by reducing benchmark interest rates by 50 basis points. Subsequently, given that the current economic environment does not appear recessionary, it may be prudent to expect the index to continue growing until September 2025. Many analysts seem to agree with this projection. UBS expects the S&P 500 to reach 6,400, while Oppenheimer Asset Management chief investment strategist John Stoltzfus expects the index to reach 7,100 in 2025.

In this context, it makes sense for retail investors to take small positions in high-quality stocks taking advantage of secular tailwinds. Here’s why the picks from these two companies fit together perfectly.

When investing in database software and cloud services stocks, Oracle (NYSE: ORCL) It’s an obvious choice. The company’s Q2 FY2025 top-line and bottom-line performance missed consensus estimates by a slight margin (for the period ending November 30). Despite this, the company’s prominent role in the current AI revolution and its strength in traditional databases make it a worthwhile pick in December 2024.

Oracle’s cloud services and licensing support revenue accounts for nearly 77% of the company’s total revenue. The cloud business is expected to generate $25 billion in revenue in fiscal 2025. Oracle’s prominence in providing data center infrastructure optimized for artificial intelligence (AI) is the main factor driving growth of your cloud business. The company’s Oracle cloud infrastructure is used by major AI companies such as NVIDIA, MetaplatformsxAI, OpenAI and Cohere to train your most important generative AI models.

Oracle is also focused on further improving the performance of its cloud infrastructure and recently launched the world’s largest and fastest supercomputer, which uses up to 65,000 Nvidia H200 GPUs. This performance advantage has made Oracle’s cloud infrastructure faster and cheaper than many competing cloud infrastructures, helping it win large AI training workloads. The company’s GPU usage also increased a whopping 336% year over year in the second quarter.



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